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My Options Overview / Guide (V2)

Greeting Theta Gang boys and girls,
I hope you're well and not bankrupt after last week. I'm just now recovering mentally myself. I saw a few WSB converts and some newbies asking for tips, so here you go. V2 of my Options guide. I hope it helps.

I spent a huge amount of time learning about options and tried to distill my knowledge down into a helpful guide. This should especially be useful for newbies and growing options traders.
While I feel I’m a successful trader, I'm not a guru and my advice is not meant to be gospel, but this will hopefully be a good starting point, teach you a lot, and make you a better trader. I plan to keep typing up more info from my notebook, expanding this guide, and posting it every couple months.
Any feedback or additions are appreciated
Per requests, I added details of good and bad trades I made. Some painful lessons learned are now included. I also tried to organize this better as it got longer.
Here's what I tell options beginners:
I would strongly recommend buying a beginner's options book and read it cover to cover. That helped me a lot.
I like this beginner book: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00GWSXX8U/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_apa_OxNDFb2GK9YW7
Helpful websites:
Don't trade until you understand:
Basics / Mechanics
General Tips and Ideas:
Profit Retention / Loss Mitigation
Trade Planning & Position Management Tips
-Advanced Beginner-
Spreads
Trading Mechanics, Taxes, Market Manipulation
-Intermediate / Advanced Strategies (work in progress)-
You’ll notice many of these strategies inverse one another.
Options Strategy Finder
This website is great for learning about new strategies, you’ll see many links to it below.
https://www.theoptionsguide.com/option-trading-strategies.aspx
Short Strangle / Straddle
Iron Condor and Iron Butterflies
Long Condor (Debit Call Condor)
Short Condor (Credit Call Condor)
Reverse Iron Condor
LEAPs
PMCC / PMCP
Advanced Orders

Disclaimer:
I’m not a financial adviser, I'm actually an engineer. I’m not telling you to invest in a specific stock/option or even use a specific strategy. I’ve outlined and more extensively elaborated on what I personally like. You should test several strategies and find what works best for you.
I'm just a guy who trades (mainly options) part-time for financial gain and fun. I don't claim to be some investing savant.
submitted by CompulsionOSU to thetagang [link] [comments]

Explaining Robinhood’s Fuckup

TLDR: They ran out of cash and can’t use customer cash as collateral. Brokers that had more collateral were not affected or were not affected to the same degree.
Edit: This is an explanation not a defense. Fuck them. They didn’t explain that they fucked up and basically got margin called. I didn’t use them but if I did I would have changed brokers instantly. The reason this is important is not just because of GME but because it happened to many brokerages and that means there is liquidity stress in the market right now.
Article from the FT:
The crucial role played by clearing houses in financial markets has been thrust into the spotlight after contentious moves by US brokers such as Robinhood and Charles Schwab to restrict retail investors’ bets on stocks at the heart of the Reddit-fuelled trading boom.
Customers reacted angrily on Thursday as brokers moved to stop them opening new positions in certain red-hot stocks, accusing them of unfair treatment or even a Wall Street establishment plot. But the brokers gave a more mundane explanation: the extra volatility in share prices meant they had to hold more capital at the institutions that clear their trades.
What do clearing houses do? These unobtrusive venues normally sit in the background of daily market activity but they can become the centre of attention during periods of volatility when they require more cash — or “margin” — from their members to ensure that deals are honoured as customers expect.
An equities trade that has been executed can take up to two days to be legally settled, creating a risk of it failing if either side of the trade defaults. A clearing house stands between the two sides to manage the risk to the market if that happens.
Each day members of the clearing house, which range from small brokers like Robinhood to big Wall Street banks such as JPMorgan and Citigroup, are required to put up margin as insurance for their trades.
The amount is calculated by the clearing house and is based on the amount of trading carried out by each member, as well as the volatility of the individual securities traded. Margin is generally collected at the start of the trading day, although there can be intraday calls in frenzied periods, in an attempt to protect the wider market from sudden trade failures.
The clearing member often has limited time to make up the shortfall and the margin typically has to be an asset that is highly liquid, such as cash, US government bonds or shares. In the middle of the market volatility last March, one US bank was required to find $9.6bn of margin for derivatives trades within an hour.
How do brokers such as Robinhood fit into this? In common with rivals such as Schwab and ETrade, Robinhood clears its own trades and is a member of the main US equities clearing house, run by DTCC.
While self-clearing saves on the fees that would otherwise go to another clearing broker, it also means Robinhood takes on the risk that an executed trade does not settle, and needs to have more cash on hand to cover shortfalls. It also faces higher costs if the clearing house raises margin requirements in volatile periods to protect against a member default.
“The extreme volatility is a big factor behind this,” said Andy Nybo, managing director at Burton-Taylor International Consulting. “They need to make sure they are able to meet cash requirements, whether it is for clearing or to investors that are owed money due to trading activity.”
As Robinhood said in a blog post on Thursday, the requirements “can be substantial in the current environment.” It declined to comment further.
Between Wednesday and Thursday, the margin call from DTCC across the US equities market rose from $26bn to $33.5bn, the clearing house confirmed.
DTCC said the frenzied trading in shares such as GameStop and AMC Entertainment “generated substantial risk exposures at firms that clear these trades . . . particularly if the clearing member or its clients are predominantly on one side of the market.”
How did brokers respond? Safety mechanisms built into the market’s infrastructure across Wall Street led to periodic halts in trading activity on Thursday. In order to ensure they had enough money to cover margin and capital requirements, Robinhood and others such as Schwab and TD Ameritrade raised margin for trading on some of the names at the heart of the volatility, which required more cash be set aside after each trade.
This limited its margin needs from escalating further. By allowing users to close positions, it was still permitting trades that would reduce its immediate need for cash.
Robinhood also raised the margin requirements for customers that had not paid for the total value of their trading up front, having cut its margin requirements in December in an attempt to drive more trading activity. That meant some customers suddenly needed to come up with cash to cover trades.
Behind the scenes, Robinhood moved to raise a fresh $1bn in capital from its existing investors, which it announced ahead of trading on Friday. The company said the fundraising was a “strong sign of confidence from investors that will help us continue to further serve our customers”.
Anthony Denier, chief executive of Webull, another company that was forced to restrict trading in some shares, said in an interview with Yahoo Finance that its clearing firm “simply could not afford” the cost of entering into new trades.
“This has nothing to do with a decision or some sort of closed, cigar smoke filled room of Wall Street firms getting together to the dismay of the retail trader,” he said.
————————- Simpler Explanation from Comments ————————
RH and other similar execution firms have to post collateral with the DTCC every time a position is opened. This collateral is to protect the DTCC in the event of the market moving against the position between the time of execution and the time the trade settles (T+2) AND the execution firm failing to settle the trade by being unable to come up with the cash (in the case of a purchase) or the shares (in the case of a sale).
When a share is particularly volatile, the DTCC will up the collateral requirements it imposes on both buyer and seller. When the trade does finally settle the collateral is returned.
RH and other execution firms are prohibited from using client funds for this purpose, which must remain in a segregated account until settlement is finalised. Even if RH decline to allow margin trading on certain volatile stocks, insisting that buyers stump up the full purchase price, this money cannot be used for the 2 day period when RH has to post collateral. If RH executed a sell order during this period, that would reduce DTCC's risk and allow it to return collateral to RH rather than ask for more. This collateral could be re-used by RH, allowing it to make another purchase on behalf of a client. This is why RH could accept sell orders nut not buy orders periodically. Once it had executed enough sell orders, which freed up collateral, it could then offer to accept buy orders, until the collateral ran out again. This is why the blocks on buy orders were periodic - they hit their collateral limit, so stopped accepting buy orders. They executed sell orders which freed up collateral (and collateral was returned as trades settled), allowing them to offer buy orders agin, until the collateral limit was hit again, when they had to once again suspend buy orders. etc etc
And ran out, it did. RH's business model is based on a steady stream of small orders on both the buy sand sell side. If it is executing both buys and sells consistently over time, as far as DTCC is concerned it has very little risk to RH so doesn't need to ask for much collateral to be posted. Hence RH had never planned for a situation where it would be asked to post large quantities of collateral (potentially $billions).
So, it ran out of collateral that it would need to post for buy orders, but sell orders would free up collateral. It arranged a convertible bond issue with existing shareholders that raised $500m immediately, and hopefully another $500m in a few days and it drew down on a loan facility it had with its banks. But still not enough.
The issue RH (and others experienced) is the ridiculously long time it still takes to settle trades (it could be more or less immediate) and the rules that prevent it using client funds as collateral (if settlement was immediate, the client funds wouldn't remain in the segregated account, but would be used immediately to settle the trade).
But it is what it is. If RH wants to execute trades it has to be able to put up the collateral. If it doesn't have the collateral, it can't execute trades (at least the trades that require collateral). But the wider market remained open. Anyone could buy or sell shares at all times. They just needed to put up the collateral themselves for the 2 day settlement period, or find someone who would do so on their behalf.
Edit: 🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
submitted by WilliesLeftBraid to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

The best Crit to Atk ratio. Thorough Math

The best Crit to Atk ratio. Thorough Math

TL;DR;

  1. Optimally, you should try to be as close to the red line on this graph as possible, while keeping 2:1 CD:CR ratio. Here AtkBonus is a ratio between your "Bonus Atk" and "BaseAtk" - green and white stats in your character details.
  2. The optimal AtkBonus is 112-125%.
The optimal set of AtkBonus, CR and CD is shown by the red line (CD is always equal 2CR). Depending on the quality of your gear you will end up on the different parts of this line.

  1. For dps w/o extra bonuses: CR > Atk% ≥ CD.
  2. With extra bonuses (ascension, teambuffs, weapon) this can change to CR >> Atk% > CD, or CR ≥ CD > Atk%, or CR >> CD ≥ Atk%.
  3. For pure support character: Atk% ≥ CR > CD. I.e w/o Atk% Clockpiece and so on.
  4. Dps with 3* artifacts: Atk% > CR ≥ CD.
  5. Dps with 4* artifacts: CR ≥ Atk% > CD.

  1. If unsure, go to the spreadsheet I linkat the very end of the post. Copy your to your own googledrive, so you can change it. Go to the most appropriate "Artifacts Razor" or any other char part, which fits the best and change the tables accordingly to your characteweapon/artifacts and see which one is the best in the summary table.
  2. All the above assumes that the main source of your character damage scales with Atk, not off-stats. For example, with Noelle def-scaling damage the picture will be different, making atk much less important comparing to crits. Noelle would require additional calculations with all 4 stats: Atk, Def, CR, CD.
  3. The case of CR = 100% and other reasons to stop increasing CR are considered by me in this post.

_____________________________________

INTRO

We all know that the ideal CR (Crit Rate) to CD (Crit Damage) ratio is 1 to 2. But what is the ideal Crit to Attack% ratio?
It's a much harder question, and most people just prefer to follow the rule that CR > CD > Atk% (crit rate is always better than crit damage and crit damage is always better than attack%). Which is a good enough for most of the cases, but is not always true.
It's very easy to see if you take a brand new character with 100 base attack, 5% CR, 50% CD and 0% Atk bonuses. The character deals 100*(1+5%*50%) = 102.5 damage on average.
You can increase the damage by 10% with just 10 Atk%: 100*(1+10%)(1+5%*50%) = 112.75.
To make the same with CR increase you need +20% CR, which is a looot: 100*(1+0%)(1+(5+20)%*50%) = 112.5.
But, to make the same damage with CD increase you need +200% more CD! 100*(1+0%)(1+5%*(50+200)%) = 12.75. Which is just mind blowing difference comparing to +10% Atk.
________________________________________________________________________________________________________

BASICS

So clearly there is a line where Atk% can be better than CD and even than CR. Let's figure out what is this line.
First let's give a few definitions and rid of everything we don't need, for example, Elemental bonus damage even though can increase the character damage has nothing to do with Atk vs Crit balance. We will be interested only in the part of the damage formula:
DMGFactor = (1 + FlatAtk/BaseAtk + Atk%)*(1 + CR*CD),
where BaseAtk is a sum of the character and weapon base attack (some equipment can change this value as well, but this is a rare case). FlatAtk is a flat damage bonuses, like from the feather or Atk sub stat.
We combine the Atk bonuses together:
AtkBonus% = FlatAtk/BaseAtk + Atk%
this value is quite easy to check, you just go to your character details and divide green number by white number:
AtkBonus% = 2281/828 = 275.5%
and the damage formula becomes
DMGFactor = (1 + AtkBonus%)*(1 + CR*CD),
The next step is to realize, that CR, Atk% and CD on your equipment comes at the different amounts. As the headpiece maxed main stat you can get 62.2% Crit Damage, or only 46.6% Atk, or even less Crit Rate - 31.1%. CR, Atk% and CD come at 1 to 1.5 to 2 ratio on all artifact stats and sub stats, and even weapons of the same quality. So every time we want to get 31.1% Crit Rate we lose either 46.6% Atk or 62.2% Crit Damage.
Crit Rate : Atk% : Crit Damage ratio = 1 : 1.5 : 2
To track this fact I would like to introduce a parameter
StatsPool = AtkBonus% / 46.6% + CR / 31.1% + CD / 62.2%
basically it shows the gear quality in terms of amount of CR, Atk and CD. Higher an artifact level is higher it's StatsPool is, but if you change a CR to CD or Atk% on the artifact it's StatsPool will stay the same. For example, consider a flower with 299 HP, 23 Def, 5.8% Atk and 23.4% CR that means that we got 5* flower with 4 substats, which rolled to the maximum possible values (you can't get more than 299HP, 23 Def, 3.9% CR and 5.8 Atk% on a substat) and then it rolled 5 times into CR, every time increasing CR by maximum possible value of 3.9%. Flower2 which has CD instead of CR and a different amount is equally hard to get, you need to get 5* flower with 4 substats, which rolled to the maximum possible values and then rolled 5 times into CD, every time increasing CD by maximum possible value of 7.8%. So from the statistics point of view both flowers are the same, and this is represented by the same StatsPool values.

Flowers of the same statspool level
________________________________________________________________

FINDING OPTIMUM (MATH)

Now our task can be formulated as finding the highest DMGFactor for a gear with a fixed StatsPool.
If we forget about Atk% for a moment and think only about CR and CD we can get the famous 1 : 2 ratio. Imagine we have two pieces of gear of the same StatsPool. They differer only in CR and CD: first has CR1 = x% and CD1 = y% and another has CR2 = x%+1% and another with CD2 = z%.
Since they both have the same StatsPool and the same Atk%, then:
AtkBonus / 46.6% + CR1 / 31.1% + CD1 / 62.2% = AtkBonus / 46.6% + CR2 / 31.1% + CD2 / 62.2%
2*CR1 + CD1 = 2*CR2 + CD2
2*x + y = 2*(x+1%) + z
y = 2% + z
z = y - 2%
now compare DMGFactors:
DMGFactor1 = AtkFactor*(1 + x*y)
DMGFactor2 = AtkFactor*(1 + (x+1%)*(y-2%)) = AtkFactor*(1 + x*y-x*2%+y*1%-1%*2%) = AtkFactor*(1 + x*y + 0.01*(y-2*x)-0.0002)
As you can see when y = 2*x and only then DMGFactor2 is always less than DMGFactor1. I.e. once we have we have 1 to 2 ratio doesn't matter whether we convert stats from CR to CD or backwards we will deal less damage. 1 to 2 ratio - is the optimum.
In the same way we can write down a conversion of Atk% stat to Crit stats in the way that StatsPool stays the same: 1.5% Atk becomes 1% CR. To keep 1:2 CR:CD ratio we also convert another 1.5% Atk to 2% CD:
DMGFactor1 = (1+AtkBonus)*(1 + x*y)
DMGFactor2 = (1+AtkBonus-3%)*(1 + (x+1%)*(y+2%))
with some math we can find out that
DMGFactor1 - DMGFactor2 = (1+AtkBonus)*(CD+2*CR) - 3*(1+CR*CD) + ( 0.03*CD+0.06*CR+0.01*AtkBonus + 0.0006 - 0.01)
This shows that extremum is achieved when
AtkBonus = 3*(1+CR*CD)/(CD+2*CR) - 1
so here how it looks like:
https://preview.redd.it/qlzpmcqydl361.png?width=701&format=png&auto=webp&s=02eb890ea2e677499dd57067365dde101ec2d783
It can be checked that the AtkBonus values for part of the table with CR > 40% is optimal - if you convert part of the atk to crit or backwards - DMGFactor goes down. I.e. those are the best stats combinations for a given StatsPools.
As for the part with CR < 40% those are the opposite extremums - the worst stats combination for a given statsPools. You should ignore them.
Note two things:
a) AtkBonus < 112% is never optimal. I.e. you should have at least 112% before going for crits.
b) There are no StatsPools below 5.73. I.e. if your gear is under-leveled you can't achieve the optimum. Even with the luckiest rolls you simply don't have enough stats for Crit to start working!
Here for example your options with StatsPool = 5. You can see that the maximum damage is achieved when you max Atk as much as possible.
When StatsPool = 5, increasing Crit (at the cost of the attack) reduces damage
Don't get me wrong. It doesn't mean that a low level gear w/o crit is always better than a gear with crit. It means that a gear with atk% instead of the crit is always better. If you can get both - it's still better than to have only one.
________________________________________________________________

Ideal Artifacts

Let's see how much StatsPools we can actually get with each gear level.
As an example I consider Lvl90 Razor with Lvl90 Prototype Animus. The best artifact set you can get is Gladiator with Atk% on Clocks, Phys Dmg on Goblet and Crit Rate% on headpiece. For the substats you can get 4 at the start + 5 upgrades till level 20. You can't get the same substats as the main stat. And the only substats, which increase our StatsPool value are: CR, CD, Atk% and Atk. Also it should have balanced CR and CD for the 1 to 2 ratio. So here how it looks like:
https://preview.redd.it/xu2wxkwrhl361.png?width=684&format=png&auto=webp&s=3b878b3bd106561309e6ec0bf4592d1d0434f25c
So maximum StatsPool for Razor with Animus is 9.74. Which is even more than we had in the optimization table. But we have 95% Crit Rate in the table. The optimal AtkBonus for that crit rate is 121%, which is much lower than what we have. So theoretically you would need to convert part of the attack into crit here, unfortunately on the artifacts we have the lowest possible atk (only one roll into each stat), so we can't do it and there by this Aftifact set is optimal, changing CR to atk or CD won't increase damage:
We lose damage with atk headpiece and get the same damage with CD headpiece - if we compensate the change with substats change.
Ok. How about 4* artifacts?
I used Lvl80 Razor with Lvl80 Prototype Animus with Berserker and Sojourn sets.
The best roll would be:
https://preview.redd.it/a8b627dxtl361.png?width=680&format=png&auto=webp&s=027220d8d97cc02c037278176421a7cfe18edeef
StatsPool is quite high - 7.47 and if we switch headpiece to atk%, we lose a bit of the damage.
We lose damage with atk headpiece, but just a little bit
Switching headpiece to CD won't change anything, since then we can switch substats to CR to the same result.
The same damage with CD headpiece - if we compensate the change with substats change.
3* artifacts
have only 5.13 StatsPool, which is less than the 5.73 borderline. Thereby switching to attack gives more damage. Also converting CR into CD gives less damage, since it worse CD/CR ratio.
On Idealistic 3* artifacts all stats about of the same importance
with 3* artifacts you have only 5.13 StatsPool, which is less than the 5.73 borderline.
________________________________________________________________

Realistic Artifacts

The best possible artifacts is a good both as concrete example and as an upper limit on what you can achieve, but in reality you will get significantly worse artifacts, even if you try hard to optimize them.
To make the estimation more realistic I assumed that:
- Substats roll an average value (max+min)/2, not the max value.
- Typically you will miss at least on 1 att/crit related substat.
- You can get all stats on one of the artifacts (for example on Flower and Feather you don't have to roll for the main stat, so it is easier)
- You can get max number of initial stats on +0 lvl artifact.
- Rolls when you level artifact go into all substats with the same probability.
All this is also very hard to get, and i bet most of us have worse artifacts, but this already looks possible to get with enough rolls.
This way we can get a "theoretically average artifact", like this:
\"Theoretically average\" 5* artifact.
Note, that specifics doesn't matter. You can miss Atk% on the Feather, or Flower, or Goblet - the result will be the same. Similarly you can get a bit better rolls on Goblet Atk% and a bit worse rolls on Flower Atk%, but you will end up with approximately the same total Atk%.
As you can see, StatsPool has decreased dramatically, to the level of StatsPool of 4* Idealistic artifacts. So CR Headpiece is still better than Atk%, but not as much as and idealistic 5*:
Atk% is still worse than CR%
What is more interesting is that CD-headpiece is even worse, since we can't move subsstats freely anymore, and random doesn't care about 1:2 ratio at all:
CD is even worse than Atk% due to very unbalanced CD/CR raio = 4.5!!
With 4* and 3* artifacts the tendency is the same. I will skip the setup tables for the sake of clarity and move to the summary:
https://preview.redd.it/9y7hyodahm361.png?width=806&format=png&auto=webp&s=5265c189af326e91c7de9603f933825f8d81ca0f
We conclude, that with 3* artifacts, even the most ideal ones, stats go like this: Atk% > CR ≥ CD - you should always prefer Atk% to CR and CR to CD, depending on your CD/CR ratio.
Even very good realistic 4* artifacts have only 6.19 StatsPool, which is pretty close to 5.73 borderline value when Atk% is always better than Crit. So in general we have CR ≥ Atk% > CD. You always prefer CR and Atk% to CD, since otherwise it's very hard to get 2:1 CD:CR ratio. And you chose between Atk% and CR depending on CD:CR ratio and artifact quality - worse your stats more you should incline to Atk%.
With good 5* artifacts CR is almost always better than Atk% and CD, which are approximately equal: CR > Atk% ≥ CD.
________________________________________________________________

Other dps characters and weapons

You must keep in mind that StatsPool depends not only on the Artifacts, but on the Character and the weapon as well.
Higher quality weapons though both increase stats pool due to higher bonuses, and reduce it due to higher BaseAtk value, but generally 5* swords increase StatsPool.
For example here the Razor StatsPools and DMGfactors with Wolf's Gravestone:
Wolf's Gravestone makes CR even more preferable
You can see how CR becames even more preferable, and CD just a bit more preferable, staying at about the same importance as Atk%. All these changes due to +42% atk bonus increase, which increases StatsPool almost by 1 point.
But the stat you add matters a lot. If you weapon provides CD, like with Blackcliff Slasher, then CD on artifacts becames clearly worse - Atk% is always better than CD then.
Blackcliff Slasher makes CD even less preferable
Similarly some character have CR,CD,Atk% stats as character assention bonuses, which can rise StatsPool, leading to even more preference of the Crit. But, even more than with weapons, you need to take into account the type of the stat increased.
For example Diluc with CR bonus greatly reduces average CD:CR ratio, making CD on artifact much better choice. So now on 5* both CR and CD are about the same and one should look on their CD:CR ratio before deciding on which one to go: CR ≥ CD > Atk%. And on 4* CD is even better than CR, since 4* arts don't have enough stats to balance out Diluc's CR bonus: CD > CR ≥ Atk%.
Diluc makes CD more more preferable
________________________________________________________________

Support characters

Support characters are very special, since all: their ascension, weapon, and artifact sets provide much less CCD/Atk stats, which greatly reduces StatsPool value.
As an example I consider Sucrose with Mappa Mere weapon, Timepiece with Elemental mastery main stat and Viridescent VenereInstructor sets.
Here are the estimation:
Supports will have dramatically less StatsPool, making Atk% the preferable stat most of the time
As you can see, even for 5* realistic artifacts StatsPool is 5.83, which is very close to 5.73 borderline value, which makes Atk% of about the same value as CR.
Also, as you remember, those are very good realistic artefacts with dps substats, and most probably you will have a bit worse artifacts on your supports, or simply will prefer to level artifacts with Elemental Mastery/Energy Recharge substats instead. So most probably StatsPool will be lower and it will be clearly Atk% > CR > CD stat priority, even for 5*.

________________________________________________________________

Ending notes

Just remember that the given materials talk about average situation, your specific situation can be very different.
all the pictures are taken from this spreadsheet. Feel free to play with it, and to put your own artifacts in. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JYAjibyUvt-usRHMr0DXzdmFafKeB5ky788WRw_H3XQ/edit#gid=431165290
To learn more about the case of CR = 100% and what to do if you can't increase CR go to this post.


submitted by not_a_profi to Genshin_Impact [link] [comments]

Galactic Economics 1: Happy Existence

RoyalRoad
Next
Story contains a lot about markets, logistics, development, and the best and worst of human history. Not so much Space Marines nuking aliens.
If you enjoyed the trade negotiations and Senate politics in the Star Wars prequels, and wished that there was an entire standalone story consisting solely of those parts, this might be for you!
In response to all the helpful feedback I've gotten, I am making major revisions to the start of this story, especially focusing on chapters one through three. While this occurs, there may be some inconsistencies.
The names of the brave astronauts aboard the first manned FTL spacecraft will forever be recorded in the annals of human history as a triumph of human ingenuity, determination, and international cooperation.
However, what came immediately after would be far more remembered.
"Hello, people of Earth! Humans! Welcome to the galactic community."
A shocked planet watched on their screens as an utterly alien character that looked like it was lifted out of a bad sci-fi show spoke. The alien mouth movements of what could only be described as a frog creature did not match the very human words that came out of the robotic translator.
The aliens did not pirate TV networks, nor did they hack into important government websites. They simply broadcast this openly on satellite TV for anyone with an antenna to hear. And for anyone who did not, there were CNN and social media.
"First, we would like to congratulate you on your first successful use of the blink drive. That itself is a feat of enlightenment most species we monitor do not achieve. Indeed, the physics of it all is not only extremely complex, it requires the cooperation and sacrifice of many beings, over many generations."
The young people at Mission Control in Johnson Space Center patted each other on the back tepidly as they watched the green headed frog-like alien addressing their hard work on the main screen.
"We come in peace. We are representatives of the Galactic Trader Guild."
Some humans let out a sigh of relief. Others, skeptical, watched intensely on.
"We are not here to take your resources or your people. The thousands of planets and species in the galaxy live in total peace and harmony with each other. Regional conflicts on planets are inevitable, but one thing we as a Guild pride ourselves on is our ability to ensure that none has ever reached the sacred frontiers of space."
That's a little odd, most people thought, and probably at least a little propagandized. After all, war is such a big part of human history and the human condition that it was hard to imagine an entire galactic community of thousands of FTL-capable species that never fought in space.
"Our spaceships represent millions of years of hard work, and these incredible investments must never be put into jeopardy. Therefore, weapons designed for use in space are banned. This ban will be enforced by regular ship inspections from your local Guild representatives, who are exceptions to this rule."
Most of the peace-loving people of Earth thought this was great news. After all, many nations had banned the usage of weapons in space. The only exceptions were, of course, the nations that actually had the capability to make use of space weapons. Government lawyers in the world were already starting their first drafts on their inevitable memos on how these rules obviously wouldn't or shouldn't apply to their country.
"As our name implies, we are a trade organization. We have rules for proper trade conduct that ensure a free and fair exchange of goods. All offworld traders from your planet must abide by them. Any breach of our bylaws and all fraudulent transactions can be reported to your local Guild representative. All our Guild documents will be transmitted to your people, translated to your dominant language."
A quick string of bytes followed on the digital transmission. Amateurs on the Internet quickly decoded the document. The content was a goldmine of information about the galaxy. Coordinates for alien planets on the blink drive, some engineering documents, and standardized units of measurements.
These are the temperatures and pressures at which pure water boils.
This is the standard strength of iron.
This is the distance light can travel in a vacuum while certain atoms decay. And so on.
Indeed, the big frog alien continued, "inside, you will find the specifications for an FTL beacon and the requirements for a standard trading spaceport. Once you have built them, traders around the galaxy will make the journey to make fair exchange with your people. Commonly traded items are food, manufactured goods, and workers. We are certain that your planet has many items of value for trade."
"We hope that you have a good cycle, and we eagerly await the arrival of you and your descendants in our spaceports!"
With that message transmitted, they and their ship disappeared. There were no negotiations. No exchange of handshakes.
As their ship blinked away, humanity pondered the colossal implications.
"Which planet is next on the list?" asked the big green frog as he parched his throat with water after the broadcast.
"That was it, representative. The railgun upgrade betting pool has Planet-3822 and Planet-8901 as the most likely next contenders for enlightenment. Would you like to place a wager?"
Some governments decided to suppress the news. North Korean state television cut to an orchestra playing classical music. Others made laws prohibiting the distribution of the material transmitted by the aliens until further study could be made.
In most of the connected world, the Internet rendered these measures pointless. By the end of the day, everyone had seen the aliens and that's not a genie that you could put back into the bottle. Most governments used this as an opportunity to justify dramatic increases in funding for space programs and defense.
There were very few incidents of the often exaggerated threat of civil unrest. Most people went on with their lives. They went to school, to work, and to ball games.
The arrival of the aliens had profound implications on the future of human philosophy. Most major religions had a dogma-compatible explanation by the end of the hour. Some sects even proclaimed this as evidence that their worldviews were correct.
In the stock market, this news was a massive upheaval in expectations. Thousands of alien worlds. This meant new markets with potentially trillions of customers. It also meant that potential alien technology could put entire industries out of business. Stock prices swung wildly as uncertain traders rapidly changed their positions.
Several development companies immediately announced their intentions to start construction on the spaceports mentioned in the Guild documents. As it turned out, building a place for spaceships to land wasn't that complex. You just needed something hard, durable, and flat that could withstand a bit of heat and wear. Using the formulas provided by the documents, experts agreed that the asphalt concrete normally used for airport tarmac would do just fine.
Normally, environmental reviews would need to be done, the sound pollution would need to be contained. Hundreds of tests needed to be conducted on site, but from what the frogheads said, if you built it, the traders were going to come.
Nobody wanted to be left out of what was going to be the new gold rush. So, money changed hands to grease the gears that ensured these new projects went through. Some lobbyists in Washington DC made a lot of money ensuring that no new regulations on "spaceport construction and operation" were added.
Even in California, the capital of NIMBYs and tree huggers, people could smell an opportunity if it boomed down from orbit and bonked them in the nose with it. Which it did in this case.
Thus, Livermore Spaceport.
What used to be a bunch of warehouses and parking lots just a short five-minute drive from Lawrence Livermore National Labs became a rapidly growing construction site. It was close enough to the San Francisco Bay Area metro that people could commute to it and see the first of the new generation FTL spacecraft take off and land, but far enough that they didn't have to hear about it when they slept.
BREAKING: LIVERMORE SPACEPORT OPERATIONAL
Looking up from her morning coffee, that's what the muted TV screen was trumpeting in big words on the CNN ticker. The mayor was talking, judging by the scrolling captions, something about how this will bring new jobs and money to the city.
Sarah snorted. Everything is always breaking news. She absent-mindedly watched as the TV played stock footage of the construction workers installing the antenna last month and humanity's first interstellar ships took off and landed on the concrete lot as she sipped her coffee.
Sarah Miller would not call herself a hard worker. She graduated from the University of Washington with a degree in Communications, not exactly a field high in demand. When she got offered a job as a "marketing person" at a tech startup in SF, she grabbed it, more like you'd grab a life raft and less like it was an opportunity of a lifetime or anything.
Then, two years later, the startup failed. Funding dried up, and now she was out of a job in a metro with some of the highest cost of living in the world, with not exactly the hottest resume.
So now she was sitting at a breakfast shop just outside her rented apartment in Livermore, checking her emails to see whether she got any replies on her job applications (she had not) and contemplating how long she'd last before she'd have to go home to live with her parents in Seattle.
It was not exactly a fun thought.
"You going to the spaceport opening too, Sarah?" Rudely interrupted from her self-pity, she looked to see the woman across from her. She racked her memory to match the face to a name, but nothing came immediately. Mid to late 20s, Asian American, hipster glasses, t-shirt and jeans.
The writing on the coffee cup in her hand said her name was "Jan". Ah, yes, they met a few times on the BART commute into the city. Was her name Jan or…
"Hey Jen, naw I was just staring at the news. How's it going?"
"Great! What about you? Haven't seen you on the BART for a few. You still working at that place downtown?"
Sarah sighed internally, here it is again. "Not anymore, we just got shut down. So, I'm pretty much just lounging around."
"Aww that's terrible!" Then Jen thought for a second. "Listen, I've got a business idea about the spaceport stuff, but no one to share them with. You should come with me to the opening."
"Oh yeah? Why's that?" Sarah asked, leaning forward. Normally, this would sound like the start of some kind of MLM scam or something, but she'd been unemployed long enough but that the word "business" piqued her interest. She knew that Jen was some kind of fancy engineer who made enough to still have savings despite living in one of the most expensive places in the world, so she probably wasn't asking for money.
Jen almost whispered, "my cousin's one of the construction workers at the spaceport, and he said he could get me in. They have a lot of big companies bidding to get on the ground floor of the alien trade with truckloads of all kinds of goods, but he's got an employee pass that'll get us in on day one."
"Wait, what?" Sarah said, confused. "I thought we were just going to see the opening."
"We are," Jen replied, "but I'm thinking we rent a truck, load it up with food, and see what the aliens will give us!"
"What do you need me for?"
"Well," Jen hesitated, "I have money for the truck and the food, but I don't know much about selling stuff…"
Neither did Sarah. She was in marketing, not a saleswoman. But she wasn't going to mention that.
"Sure, I sell a ton of stuff on Craigslist," she said instead, "but I'm sure nobody has experience selling to aliens!"
Jen looked relieved. Really, she just wanted some kind of backup instead of going alone. "Ok, since I'm putting up the money, and you're going to do the selling, I think we split profits fifty-fifty after I recoup the cost of the U-Haul rental and the food. How's that sound?"
Sarah thought for a while, but not too long. It probably wouldn't make them that much money, she thought. Then again, she wasn't putting anything on the line. And she needed money, if there were any to be earned here. She reached her arm out for a handshake.
"Deal!"
It's not like she had anything else to do on Saturday.
Costco, Livermore
The froghead had said that aliens traded food, and food was relatively cheap, so it was probably a safer bet to stick to than manufactured goods. Who even knew if the aliens could ride a bicycle or were interested in a PlayStation? The part he mentioned about trading workers sounded an awful lot like slavery, so that was an obvious non-starter.
"Do you think the aliens eat meat?" Sarah asked, holding up a massive bag of hamburgers.
Jen considered that for a second. Some vegetarians and vegans would probably postulate that a morally superior species would not partake in the consumption of animal flesh. Then again, she didn't have to guess. She pulled out her phone, and looked up the Guild documents summary someone had helpfully compiled into Wikipedia.
"Hmm it says that many of the other alien species are omnivores because that's how they get a wider variety of calories," Jen said after browsing a while.
They loaded one bag of each of meat onto their carts, and made sure to buy ice boxes to keep them frozen. It took several trips to their rental truck, but they finally loaded it with enough fruits, vegetables, and frozen meats to make a dent in Jen's sizable bank account.
They hoped that these aliens liked apples and pears. Those were on sale.
Livermore Spaceport, Earth
It looked like the entire Bay Area showed up and were lining up to get in. Tourists were bussing in from out of town. They saw several groups of international tourist groups that were corralling their customers around with loudspeakers.
As they drove past the long line towards the vehicle entrance, they waved at the excited crowds and got a few whoops and cheers in return.
The security guards at the gate checked their pass and let them through to the security checkpoint. Several men that looked like they meant business opened up their truck and scanned it carefully with metal detectors and x-ray scanners to ensure that no one got any funny ideas.
There was a short delay while the customs officer tried to figure out whether they needed to fill out an elaborate looking form for the fresh food in the back of their truck. A few calls to his supervisor later, amid angry glares from the truck drivers waiting behind them, he let them go.
Sarah and Jen drove into a parking lot closer to the landing pads. The pads were large concrete surfaces with white and yellow painted targets. Off in the distance, they could see hangars and a tower that looked like an airport traffic control tower. There were also a few buildings under construction, including one that looked like the start of an upscale luxury dining establishment.
From behind, they saw some of the crowd were filing into a waiting area from where they could observe the aliens from afar.
Jen felt lucky. If the food in the back was the price of admission for seeing the visitors from outer space up close and personal, to her, it would have been well worth it. Sarah was checking the battery on her phone to make sure that there would be enough left to take pictures or video, if the opportunity arises.
Most of the other trucks in the parking lot with them had logos of recognizable companies on them. Several tech companies in the Bay Area that sponsored the construction of the spaceport won bids to get in on the action. Others were some local companies that had connections to the spaceport like Jen did.
Sarah saw them first before she heard it.
First one, then several more, spaceships descended from the sky, accompanied by sonic booms as the excited crowd looked up into the sky with hands on their brows shielding from the sun.
The alien spaceships couldn't be mistaken for human rockets, but there was a certain familiarity. Long, pointy, utilitarian hull shapes with rocket flames coming out the bottom. Like modern cars that all look like they're designed in a wind tunnel, it seems like there's one efficient way to build spaceships, and everyone stuck to it.
It's nice to know that at least we were on the right track, Sarah thought to herself as the ships touched down gently on the target landing pads. Human ships can't maneuver as sharply, nor are they anywhere near the same scale and size, but at least we got the shapes right.
The cargo-plane-sized spaceships settled on the concrete landing pads without so much as a crunch. Small hatches opened at the bottom of each, and walkway ramps rolled down.
At some hidden signal, the security guard gestured to the parking lot that they were free to approach, and the dazed merchants sprang into action.
The alien they've just greeted through a translator calls himself "Zarko". He was apparently part of a species of rock planet humanoids called the Zeepil that came from a system about 200 light years from Earth, and his skin had a charred appearance that made him look like a heavily sunburned sloth on two legs.
"Let me guess, what you've brought is your native foods," Zarko's translator said in a monotone Stephen Hawking voice that did not match the movement of what looked like his lips.
"Yes! How did you guess? Can you guys eat the fruits and vegetables that we have?" Sarah asked. She stopped herself from mentioning the steaks and chicken in their ice boxes. She figured there's no knowing whether these aliens thought about carnivores, so she started with the safe stuff first.
"We consume silicon and uranium for sustenance," Zarko made a strange face and then burped, "I am joking. Every newcomer species asks the same question. Most species share the same diet. Some species eat meat from other animals. Sapient meat is of course illegal on most planets."
Relieved that Jen didn't just waste thousands of dollars on the meat, they showed Zarko their wares. And with their permission, he sampled some of each goods they had, including a bit of the raw meat.
"Good, good," Zarko was pleased. "I detect a high amount of sugar and starch in a lot of your wares. I would take it all." The Gaks would be impressed the next time he stopped at their planet.
"Can we see what you have?" Jen asked excitedly. She pushed a funny image of the aliens grabbing all their stuff and just taking off out of her mind. They wouldn't go through all the trouble of coming here just to steal some food… would they?
"Yes, yes," Zarko pulled out a tray of gadgets and started describing his goods to them.
"This is a spaceship rated fire extinguisher," he described several slightly oversized aerosol cans, "good for even reactor fires!"
"First aid kits for basic bandaging and wound cleaning, compatible with human physiology." They were several plastic looking boxes with an alien looking skull marked on all six sides. It looks like the red cross symbol wasn't so universal anymore.
"Civilian hunting rifle," Zarko set it on the table. "Powered by laser. Holds twelve shots."
It was a familiar looking weapon. Jen and Sarah looked nervously around at the security guards, but they didn't seem to notice. This was very illegal in the state of California.
They shook their heads at that one and asked to see something else. Whoever was dumb enough to buy that one would probably get it confiscated on their way out of the spaceport.
"Advanced mathematics calculator, base-24," he said. This one looked like a regular calculator but with more buttons. Interesting, but probably not that useful to humans.
"Stasis box. Keeps food safe to eat for years. Operates on solar power." Ah, a space fridge, basically. Finally, something that would probably cover their expenses.
Zarko also claimed to have tons of raw materials in his ship, including what he called "better concrete" and "better steel". The translator had some problems with these; it seems like they just hadn't been invented on Earth yet. But Zarko had customers for those on other planets already, so he didn't bother to put them out for display.
After a little haggling, Sarah and Jen settled on four of the first aid kits, six of the fire extinguishers, and one of the stasis boxes. Sarah reasoned that the stasis box could probably fetch a much higher price if they resold it as "alien technology" online, and Jen deferred to Sarah's experience in selling her old stuff online.
Zarko printed out instructions for each of the items in English, even if they did all look fairly intuitive to use by themselves. The aliens may look different from them, but by the way the fire extinguisher buttons seem to activate, the way they made their stuff did not seem that different.
The most significant difference they saw between the alien goods and what their human counterparts would be is the amount of care that clearly went into making each item. Each of the first aid kit boxes, Sarah observed, looked just a little different from each other. The adornments and decorations on the side were painted or carved on with details that weren't exactly the same, and one even had a bright gold finish.
She wondered why.
As she got home around midnight, Sarah immediately got onto Craigslist and thought about where to list "alien first aid kits". Technically, it could be under "household items", or "tools", but "collectibles" would probably get them the most-
That's when she found the "alien" section. Of hecking course. For a website that looks like it was made in the 90s, they'd already adjusted to the latest fad with remarkable speed. She found dozens of listings of alien items that she saw that Zarko was parading around, and quite a few that he didn't have.
There were no other first aid kits listed on the market. Which was strange because she definitely saw dozens of those being sold by the other traders. Hm… without a starting price, it was hard to gauge how much she should be selling it for.
She refreshed the page out of habit and watched the new items scroll in.
Her first reaction was: Ah, someone just posted a first aid kit.
Her second reaction was: Wait, for how much?
There was a listing of a first aid kit for $20,000. Which was ridiculous. It's a collectible, but a box of bandages was not worth the price of a brand-new car.
Something nagging at her instinct, Sarah opened one of them up. It was just a bunch of bandages, syringes, and basic medical stuff. Some of it had the wrong shapes, or had a different color than they'd normally be, but there's only so many ways to bandage an open wound, and everything looked familiar-ish.
She read the English manual that Zarko had printed for her. It said:
"Rated for human use. Includes:
Bandage 4 rolls,
Skin adhesive 16 pieces,
Pain relief cream 2 ounces,
Radiation exposure injection 2 doses,
Cold relief medicine 24-"
Wait, what? Radiation exposure injection? Like in case the spaceship hull leaks or something?
Sarah skimmed through the list and looked at usage instructions for:
"Radiation exposure injection: use in case of emergency hull exposure. Rapidly repairs cell and bone marrow damage for patients with acute radiation exposure and kills all cancer cell growth in body. Dose takes effect within 30 seconds. Side effects may include nausea, dehydration, drowsiness…"
Her blood chilled. She read it again.
And again to be certain.
Then she wiped away the sweat around her eyebrows to make sure she wasn't dreaming.
"Kills all cancer cell growth in body."
She looked at her laptop and refreshed the page. The previous first aid kit listing she saw had been taken down, presumably sold for $20,000. If this kit did what it said it would…
Excited, she refreshed the online listing page again. She saw two listings for the alien first aid kit, both up to well over $100,000 now.
Refresh.
A million. Some guy was selling a darn first aid kit for a million dollars.
This was incredible. Some corner of her brain whined something about putting a price on health, but she cast that out of her mind to refresh again and see more listings in the millions of dollars. And she was holding four of them in her lap.
Half an hour later, it seemed that the prices had stabilized around $4 million, the price of a small closet in downtown San Fran.
This was evidently the market price for the life of a cancer patient.
Horrific.
She put up a listing for $15 million for her four boxes.
Instantly, her email inbox started getting notifications, a number of apparently wealthy individuals with sick relatives desperate to buy a miracle cure that hadn't even been tested or proven on humans yet, introducing themselves and sharing their life stories.
There was a guy who owned a large database company but had recently been diagnosed with lung cancer. He knew he should have stopped smoking years ago, but he needed something to manage the stress.
Another, a business executive, who had a heartbreaking story of her dad dying of liver cancer.
Then, a short and simple "Willing to offer twenty million in cash today for all 8 doses of anti-radiation medicine in alien aid kit, J&J VP of Research and Innovation, Alexi G."
She looked him up online.
He was legit, from a big pharma R&D.
She reasoned that maybe selling to someone who could do research on it would help more people. And he was offering more…
She replied.
He wanted to meet at their company office downtown first thing in the morning.
Downtown San Francisco
Alexi had made good on his offer. He hadn’t tried to haggle the price, as she’d know some Craigslist buyers would try to do once you met them in person. It was generally considered a jerk move.
It was Saturday, so the offices were mostly empty, except for one conference room with several employees as well as Alexi. She handed over her duffel bag with the four kits, he opened and checked each to make sure their contents were all there, and handed over a cashier’s check for the agreed amount.
And that was it.
It had taken her bank an hour to process the check, and several additional hours to clear it. The money appeared in her account around midnight, at which point Sarah let out a breath she didn’t know she’d been holding for a day.
Sarah was rich.
Sarah got out her phone to text Jen the news.
Huh, there was an email notification "Hey Sarah, thank you for your interest in applying to be our marketing assistant. If you can send us your resume and a co-"
Delete.
Twenty million dollars was a lot of money.
Neither Sarah nor Jen had ever seen that much money, but they knew enough to leave something like this to a professional.
An accountant at a Big Four company helped them divide up the assets and ballparked how much they’d eventually need to render unto Uncle Sam the things that were his come April 15th.
Sarah paid all her bills on time, a first in months.
Jen quit her job the next day. After all, what was the point of being a web developer for a measly six-figure salary when there was a gold rush next door?
Figuratively speaking.
They both vaguely knew the history of the gold seekers during the California Gold Rush.
Some of them struck it rich, but some found nothing in the river beds of the Sacramento. The people who had made the most money in 1849 were actually not the flood of gold prospectors who came into the area.
The people who had gotten the richest out of the gold boom were the merchants who sold them the prospecting equipment they used, the services they needed, the food they ate, and the clothes they wore. The masses of pioneers who came for a new life in the American West: they were the real gold rush.
Most people today do not know the name of a single gold seeker.
Most people today have heard of some of the merchants who got rich off the gold seekers’ businesses. Levi Strauss, John Studebaker, Sam Brannan.
And of course, Henry Wells and William Fargo.
This was the fourth time they've been back to the spaceport, Sarah thought, and they'd gotten something new each time. They'd dealt with different traders each time, though they did see Zarko at least one other time as he was leaving with a full hold of fresh fruit.
After the first couple days, the alien traders had noticed that there seemed to be shortage of first aid kits on Earth, and the inevitable flood of anti-cancer syringes put online dramatically lowered its listing price.
Several large pharmaceutical companies had also issued press releases that they were within months of the development of generic anti-cancer medicine. The lawyers were working overdrive over the IP implications of adapted alien technology, but there didn't seem to be any laws preventing companies from doing it…
This brought its price down to the tens or hundreds of thousands. Nothing to sneeze at for most people, of course, but it was a literal cure for cancer and well within range of some other items the aliens were bringing.
Today, Zarko was trying to sell her and Jen on some kind of liquid medical adhesive in industrial quantities. Some hardy tree-like species use it to glue deep wounds together or something, but Sarah saw a few listings for it on Craigslist a couple of days ago that had no takers, even for cheap. Medical companies must have thought it not really worth pursuing as Earth already had similar products.
Unfortunately for Zarko, he'd already filled his cargo hold with tons of the liquid after hearing how well medical supplies were selling on Earth. His reward for his entrepreneurial spirit was an empty paw. It was beginning to look like he'd need to dump his cargo for a few boxes of worthless Vton trinkets on his way home.
Sarah and Jen had driven all the way out here with a U-Haul truck worth of pears, and most of the other traders were ready to leave for the next cycle of traders to come in anyway. They could dump their goods on Zikzik, the trader next door, but all he had left are a bunch of "better steel". Apparently some construction companies were learning to work with it, but from what she heard, it was annoying to sell those because the government was still looking at the regulations around these new building materials.
And they looked soooo heavy to have to carry home.
Sarah had learned to read a little more of the humanoid sloth's facial expressions, and he was clearly not happy about having made a trip for nothing. "Tell you what, Zarko. I'll give you the fruit, and you can bring me my goods the next time you come back," she said.
Zarko's snout perked up as he thought. Fundamentally, Zarko considered himself an honest trader. He didn't cheat or skimp on quality of materials, and he didn't lie about what he sells. Sure, he embellished a little sometimes, as all traders do, but who doesn't?
Zarko had never taken on debt to a customer. He's heard of other traders doing this, but the far more common use of debt across the galaxy was to trap people into a lifetime of hard work in unpleasant conditions.
But Sarah and Jen didn't seem like the kind of people who would be capable of doing that.
For a second, Zarko thought about cheating them. Just take their fruits, and never come back to Earth, but immediately he put the thought out of his mind. That was not the right thing to do.
Zarko agreed. He would just have to remember to bring more first aid kits next time right?
"Did you see the way Zarko reacted to the IOU?" Sarah asked Jen on the way home.
"Yeah, do you think he'll just abscond with the fruit?"
"Nah, apparently the pears are selling out like hotcakes. He can't just leave Earth and never come back. I heard Zikzik say he got a brand-new reactor upgrade just from one trip of pears alone," Sarah sounded confident, and hoped that she was right. Something else was bothering her about the alien traders.
"Good. Maybe he's worried we're naive or something and someone else will take advantage of us," Jen brainstormed.
Naive? For what? Getting cheated out of a truck full of ugly pears Safeway was going to throw out at the end of the day? Then, it dawned on her.
"I think there's something missing," Sarah said slowly, thinking about their past interactions with the alien traders, "they don't think about selling things the way we do."
"You mean they don't have money?" Sarah smiled and rolled her eyes in her head, of course Jen was thinking about money.
"Yeah. Come to think of it, they clearly don't live in some kind of Star Trek galaxy where everything is free," Sarah continues her train of thought, gears turning in her head, "they just barter and haggle for all our stuff."
"They don't have money, they don't have debt, they don't have Craigslist!" Jen blurted, the implication of this was beginning to excite the inner businesswoman in her that she's been discovering the past week.
"Coming to the spaceport is their Craigslist, but without money or debt, they must also not have a lot of the other stuff we take for granted," Sarah was already making a list in her head, "that explains why the small variety of consumer goods they have are all related space travel and cargo storage, and why most of their big trade is in industrial goods. They can't have banks! What about loans and mortgages! What about paying fines! How do they even buy stuff normally?"
"Ah, must be such a simple and happy existence without having to think about money," Jen said wistfully.
"Yup," Sarah grinned, "let's go ruin it!"
RoyalRoad
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MISCONCEPTIONS REGARDING DOGECOIN (REVISED, VERSION 1.1)

This is a revised version of my previous article. I am going to try to update frequently as it appears people have more and more questions and misconceptions or misinformation is being spread quickly. This post is to educate not only the Dogecoin community but anyone who is interested in cryptocurrency/currency is general.
This information below is important. I ask that you please take the time to read this entire post before making judgment or commenting. My discord group of over 100 people have grouped together the majority of the most asked questioned and misunderstandings regarding Dogecoin, into the following 20 key points. Even if you know the answers to some of these please read the entire post. (Especially if you’re from the cryptocurrency community) Please read them below.
  1. Question: What is Dogecoin?
Answer: Dogecoin (/ˈdoʊdʒkɔɪn/ DOHJ-koyn, code: DOGE, symbol: Ð) is a cryptocurrency invented by software engineers Billy Markus and Jackson Palmer, who decided to create a payment system that is instant, fun, and free from traditional banking fees. Dogecoin features the face of the Shiba Inu dog from the popular "Doge" meme as its logo and namesake. It was introduced on December 6, 2013, and quickly developed its own online community reaching a market capitalization of US $5,382,875,000 on January 28, 2021. [Wikipedia, 20210203]
  1. Question: Why Dogecoin?
Answer: For the Lolz. Well, not quite. Initially as a purely meme-driven alternative to the likes of Bitcoin and Litecoin, Dogecoin in-fact boasts very low transaction fees and fast transaction times, very little network congestion, and most importantly, is designed to be used as a daily means of exchange, like your morning cup of coffee. Also, it is really fun, and who doesn't like the Dog ?!
1/2 - second perspective) Question: What Is Dogecoin? And why Dogecoin?
Answer: Back a few years ago, some crazy people banded together in support of a cryptocurrency known as Dogecoin. Similar to other cryptocurrencies, Dogecoin, the people's crypto, finds itself with the support of hundreds if not thousands of individuals pushing for this currency to succeed. But what is that? Unless you have been absent from every social bubble, you may have heard of Bitcoin. For the purpose of this explanation, you will find that Bitcoin is not exactly an easy thing to equate to Dogecoin, but lets think about the criteria of a Cryptocurrency.Bitcoin did not find its foothold overnight. In fact, it took several years. A lot of people fought tooth and nail for their belief in the coin. Crypto, in a nutshell, is a decentralized form of currency that finds its value in a combination of individual asset involvement, ease or difficulty in security of an exchange, creating a method of reliable, secure, trustworthy exchange, and other reasons.
Think of it like this: to exchange goods and services without currency, one must barter. I can barter a service (a haircut, for example) towards someone who needs a haircut, and in exchange they can barter a good or service to me.Currency then becomes an "IOU" (I Owe yoU) so that, if somebody needs me to cut their hair, they can give me an IOU for a good or service they control. When enough people begin adopting this, a centralized currency eventually takes hold. Crypto seeks to take this a step further and, insteal of relying on building up a centalization in terms of valuable metals or debt, it is built up solely on the exchange of goods and services. Dogecoin, compared to other cryptocurrencies, finds itself in a strange position where the origins did NOT see it soaring to the moon in any situation. Funny how things can change in time. Dogecoin has pros and cons to it. Comparing it to other cryptos, it does not face a supply cap like Bitcoin does. It is not a directly equated asset, such as how Bitcoin can be attributed as a digital gold asset. Mining dogecoin is also much simpler (comparitively) and does not face difficulty spikes, a source of Bitcoin slow-down. In essence, in 50 years, Dogecoin will still be around, still be mined, still be traded. Bitcoin will cease to be created, hoarded, and become the digital currency of the affluent.
  1. Question: Places to buy dogecoin places where you can spend Dogecoin?
Answer: Refer to dogecoin posts by the moderators or a simple Google search for a list of businesses that accept doge as payment.
  1. Question: Cryptocurrencies vs stocks. The main differences between them.
Answer: A stock is a type of investment that represents an ownership share in a company. Investors buy stocks that they think will go up in value over time. ... A stock is an investment. When you purchase a company's stock, you're purchasing a small piece of that company, called a share.
A cryptocurrency: When comparing crypto to stocks, the main thing to keep in mind is that cryptocurrencies have few if any regulations applied to them. It is still the "wild west" of trading. You can be scammed, skimmed, pumped-dumped, as so forth, much more often and more easily than with stocks. Terminology is similar to exact between the two, but both require a certain mindset. Crypto is almost always a long-haul game, where stocks can be short play or long haul.
  1. Question: Dogecoin vs Bitcoin - their competitive advantages and disadvantages. Many cryptocurrencies have a higher degree of scarcity in comparison with FIAT (e.g. the US Dollar). For example Bitcoin / BTC has a strictly limited supply. And even though Dogecoin is not strictly limited, it is still a lot more scare in terms of supply than the US dollar. This simply means that if more people want to hold BTC or Doge versus the limited supply of the respective coin, the value of the cryptocurrency increases.
  2. Question: Is Dogecoin a meme or should it be taken seriously?
Answer: We have all witnessed the power of a meme, the depths it can reach in society, especially in recent years. We have seen it many times before with video games, consoles, Oreos, or as of late even toilet paper... A meme has inherent value in the form of “widespread information”. A meme can spread an idea across diverse communities, and even entire countries literally overnight. This can bring about lasting effects on culture and society. If correctly taken advantage of, Doge can become the dominant meme currency of the internet, and amass real-world value just by being a popular, recognisable meme itself. This is where the saying “Dogecoin is the people’s coin” comes from.
  1. Question m: Mining Dogecoin and the history of Dogecoin). How a new currency entered the market.
Answer: mining is the process of creating new cryptocurrency by solving a computational puzzle. mining is necessary to maintain the ledger of transactions upon which cryptocurrency is based. Miners have become very sophisticated over the last several years using complex machinery to speed up mining operations. Approximately 600,000 dogecoins are produced per hour and 5,256,000,000 per year,
  1. Question: Circulation of currencies. The importance of buying, selling, and holding - and the differences between them.
Answer: To briefly explain this, a lot of people have been saying “buy and hold” or “I’m never selling!” - which in itself is great start. But there remains a lot of misinformation around the topic, for example that simply "buying and holding Doge" will drive up the price indefinitely. Unfortunately, that is just not true. Buying, holding, and selling are all intricately connected with each other. ALL of those three states are essential for a (digital) currency to flourish. Holding does neither hurt or raise the value of the asset, but rather it helps to establish a baseline, which is also called "setting a floor". Those who have diligently kept on holding their coins, have allowed Dogecoin to stabilize at roughly 0.03 USD cents for the past few days. Remember, this remains a huge gain from where Dogecoin has been just weeks ago. The reason the price is not changing much from this baseline right now is because few are buying and few are selling their Dogecoin, specifically due to topics which will be covered in other sections here. However, an active circulation of a currency is critical to establishing it as an effective means of exchanging goods and setting it up for long term growth. The best way to increase the overall value of the currency in the long run is by eventually by exchanging your coins for goods, services, or just by tipping and trading with other Dogecoin holders. The value of any means of exchange is fundamentally driven by supply and demand. If two parties agree that X amount of asset A is roughly worth the same as Y amount of asset B, you effectively have established a market.
  1. Question: Establishing a floor or a baseline.
Answer: Due to other current issues, such as "RH" and other platforms artificially delaying FIAT-to-Crypto exchanges, these trends may appear strange at first sight, but those who continue holding onto their Doge are affecting or rather creating the floor. The floor is essentially the lowest value Dogecoin will drop to at current market conditions. The floor is currently around .06 USD cents. Which is up from 0.008 USD cents just a few months ago.
  1. Question: Inflation and deflation Infinite supply / no cap vs cap in regarding to cryptocurrency
Answer: Inflation and deflation are common economic terms used to explain the change in the inherent value of a currency. This means that that 1 US Dollar today does not have the same value or “worth” as it did, for example, in 1950. Inflation is a situation of rising prices in the economy. A more exact definition of inflation is a sustained increase in the general price level in an economy. Deflation on the other hand occurs when the inflation rate falls below 0%, that is a negative inflation rate. While inflation reduces the value of a currency over time, a sudden deflation of a currency increases its relative value. This would allow more goods and services to be bought than before with the same amount of currency. Deflation can be a factor in leading to a recession and also result in a deflationary spiral.
10a) What does all this mean with regards to cryptocurrency, specifically Bitcoin versus Dogecoin?
 Well - Bitcoin is stagnant or deflationary over time, while Dogecoin is inflationary overtime. This is due to the way they are architected and mined, and how new coins are added into their respective markets - covered in other section. What gets misunderstood is which one is “better” or rather "the lesser evil". Since Dogecoin has an “infinite supply”, how can it maintain value? 
10b) You may have read things like: "You're stupid if you buy Dogecoin. It has no value. It has unlimited supply. It's just a stupid meme." Let's look at the US dollar (or essentially any major FIAT currency of your choice). FIAT currency is created out of thin air. It is backed by large sums of debt, and in the normal course of the economy it is inflating endlessly. But FIAT currency does have value. It's a value assigned to it by governments and people, a commonly accepted means for exchange. Again, FIAT does not have a limited supply. In fact, the supply of the US dollar is a lot more inflationary than Doge would ever be. Please think about that for a moment and make up your own mind.
10c) Yes, Dogecoin has a supply growth of about 5 billion coins (that's about 4-5% right now) per year, but why is that a problem, practically speaking? The growth is there to keep transaction fees to a minimum and allow a small, but healthy inflationary tendency, rather than the opposite.
10d) Dogecoin doesn't need a supply limit like Bitcoin, because in the long run it will be much easier to exchange Dogecoin for goods and services, than with other crypto currencies or regular currencies for that matter.
 If Bitcoin wants to become a real global currency with buying power, not just a speculation tool to exchange it for a few thousand debt based USD, when it hits a new record high every few months or years, its supply will have to grow inevitably. We have to see the bigger picture! Dogecoin may well climb to one US dollar, but why stop and sell there? Instead, we could build a new, fair, balanced monetary ecosystem based on Dogecoin, not to make a quick profit, but to change the whole world. Our current money is backed by signatures on debt contracts, not on real values. But it works, because we believe in it, even if it will be our downfall if it continues like this. Dogecoin is different. Dogecoin has a set amount of coins entering the market by the minute. There are plenty of spreadsheets out there showcasing exactly how much many Dogecoin will be in circulation at any given moment of time. People get confused because they think inflation is a bad thing, when in fact it is actually beneficial in small quantities and beneficial to the longevity of a currency. Dogecoin doesn't need a supply limit like Bitcoin, because in the long run it will be much easier to exchange Dogecoin for goods and services, than with other crypto currencies or regular currencies for that matter. If Bitcoin wants to become a real global currency with buying power, not just a speculation tool to exchange it for a few thousand debt based USD when it hits a new record high every few months or years, it's supply will have to grow inevitably. 
  1. Question: Financial aspects of Dogecoin. Who will profit from it? What will happen if Dogecoin has exponential growth? A zero- sum game. Explaining that you only realize a loss or profit at then time of sell.
Answer: To clear things up - cryptocurrency is essentially what economist call a Zero Sum Game. A zero-sum game is a mathematical representation of a situation in which each participant's gain or loss of utility is exactly balanced by the losses or gains of the utility of the other participants. What this means is that across a group of people who engage in selling and buying Dogecoin, if one person gains another person loses. For example if you bought at 0.08 and sold at 0.03 someone made a profit of 0.05 cents per Dogecoin while you lost 0.05 cents per Dogecoin. The important thing to understand is that in these situations the only way you truly lose or gain anything is when you sell. You don’t realize your gains or losses until you complete that transaction. What this means is that if Dogecoin does increase exponentially the people who have been holding since the price has been low will gain astronomical returns on their investment, while others who joined late will not.
  1. Question: Stability vs Volatility
Answer: This describes basically how stable something is over a set period of time. Volatility is how much prices change over time. Stabilization of Dogecoin is important for the overall health, however, cryptocurrencies are known to and will likely remain very volatile for the foreseeable future.
13a) Pump and dump vs long term growth. "Pump and dump" is a form of securities fraud that involves artificially inflating the price of an owned stock through false and misleading positive statements, in order to sell the cheaply purchased stock at a higher price. Pump and dumps are consider illegal. While a subset of people are trying to pump and dump Dogecoin the legitimate community is focused its long term growth and stability which is achieved through the rest of the topics addressed here
13b - second perspective) Essentially many people are just coming onto DOGE because it has low barrier to entry, and enticed by the idea of coming in low, selling what they have and running with the profits short term. This has lead to pumps and dips, and a lot of misinformation being thrown around. I should clarify some points for those who are coming in, instead of repeating the HODL and diamond hands rhetoric. Planned pumps are not what Doge needs. Pumps of this nature usually have an attached implication, which is that people will plan on selling, capitalising on the hype and then buying low to wait for the next pump. This leads to money being taken out of the coin, resulting in the lower price we now see. This means that planned pumps are essentially feeding sellers. We are not doing this in secret. This is a public forum and people with the intention have the information needed to drain us dry if we let them. Essentially, if we want Doge to grow, planned pumps need to stop being openly advertised, or they need to die altogether. Of the two, the latter is the easiest, and it is what this post will be focusing on. Sustainable Growth is now the way. Pumps are fine when they're unpredicted - Elon Musk is living proof of that. However, planned pumps will result in our good boy coin shooting down to the dips, where sellers can reinvest and wait to harvest our money again at the next pump. If however, we grow the price slowly, the floor will increase in a much more stable fashion, resulting in smaller dips. This will mean that the insane dips where sellers truly farm their coin at become very inhospitable to them, as they'd need to put more and more money to receive less and less profit. Essentially, by slowly growing the coin with organic 'food' instead of steroids, we can slowly choke out those parasites who are ruining the growth of the coin by making every dip a horrible investment for their time and efforts. Sure, buy at the dips. Sure, hold the coin. But don't plan any more pumps. The less room you give to the sellers, the doubters and the paper hands, the more coin you can collect and the more profit that awaits you in the future. Conclusion If we come together as a community, Doge will truly live up to the hype - the people's currency. If we choose to continue listening to planned pumps, we have a very difficult, long and risky road ahead of us. Sustainable growth will beat large planned spikes any day.
  1. Question: Difference between cold storage, internet wallets and Robinhood
Answer: Coldstorage - in the cryptocurrency world cold storage refers to physical objects/devices that contain your cryptocurrency.
Wallets are an electronic program of service that stores your cryptocurrency
Robhinhood- as of right now robinhood does not actually give you cryptocurrency when purchased through them. From Robhinhood’s cryptocurrency page: “We don’t currently provide you with access to your wallet or your wallet address. You own the cryptocurrency assets in your account, and you can buy or sell them at any time. We’re evaluating features to allow you to safely transfer coins to and from Robinhood, and we’ll update you when these features are available.” Robhinhood will be addressed in another section.
  1. Question: Elon Musk - Is he important for Dogecoin? The impact of celebrities and big business supporting Dogecoin Celebrity/Influencer Involvement
Answer: Elon Musk, Mark Cuban As many may know, Elon is highly involved when it comes to “meme culture.” we can see Elon has tweeted several times concerning “doge,” reposting memes found from Reddit, as well as concerning himself with the ripples of the recent stock news. Mark Cuban, another notable wealthy, down-to-earth, community-involved individual, has recently mentioned “#dogecoin” specifically. Regardless of whether these people have positive intentions towards $DOGE or not, their mention carries weight and public opinion and is a good assumption that new eyes are looking at us as a result. It should be noted that they have tweeted neutrally to positively towards $DOGE, not indicating a full-send support but they clearly are not talking down the possibilities.
Big business allowing Dogecoin to be supported as means of exchanging goods, and people like Elon musk supporting and backing this cryptocurrency are important to proving its value and legitimacy.
  1. Question: Is getting Dogecoin to increase to the equivalent of one US dollar possible? Can and will it really happen? What will change if it does happen? How high can Dogecoin realistically rise in price. Market cap explanation and comparison to US currency and global FIAT currency.
Answer: Yes, despite not having a fixed or capped supply, the value of the currency can rise based on its relative value against other currencies in the market. You can find examples of this in the FOREX market where currency pairs are traded, like Euro against US dollar, or US Dollar against Japanese Yen. As the value of Dogecoin rises, more and more businesses will recognise its potential and importance, and subsequently begin to accept it in exchange for goods and services. This will also help to grow the developer community around Dogecoin.
Market cap = price x supply. Price is determined by supply and demand (buying snd selling of Dogecoin. Supply is determined by mining Dogecoin.
The current market cap of Dogecoin while writing this article is 9,000,000,000 (9 billion) if Dogecoin was to reach $1 it would have a market cap of 128 billion dollars. Bitcoin (the most successful cryptocurrency$ currently has a market cap of approximately 700,000,000 (700 billion dollars). This means that at $1 the total supply of Dogecoin would be “worth” about 1/7th of Bitcoins total supply. The estimated supply of the US dollar is 2,000,000,000 (2 trillion) since 1 dollar = 1 dollar (LOLZ) the market cap of the US currency is 2 trillion. If Dogecoin were to reach this market cap - the price can be calculated through dividing the market cap (2 trillion) by the supply (128 billion). This means that dogecoin would equal the entire US currency at $15.60. This is definitely not impossible but highly highly improbable to ever reach this value any time soon. As in like 3-10 years away minimum. Now the entire supply of the entire worlds fiat currency is 37 trillion dollars. You can apply the same logic from above and see that the value would be $288.6. This is the theoretical limit to how much Dogecoin can be worth due simply to the fact that if it was valued at anymore than that amount it would be “worth” more than the entire world’s currencies combined which is not possible without adding more supply.
  1. Question: Is Dogecoin a product of the Wallstreet Bets movement? What differentiates dogecoin from GME/AMC?
Answer:!Just like some other investment opportunities (Nokia, Blackberry), DOGE was brought into the spotlight amidst the whole GME situation during the previous week. Unlike those stock, however, Doge is not another short squeeze, it is not a stock. It is a cryptocurrency / asset that many people think has potential, despite its Meme origins. Many who feel that they were late for embarking on the GME hype or the Bitcoin train in 2013 respectively, are now looking towards Doge, one of the early alternatives to the original cryptocurrency, Bitcoin. Doge got a lot of interest recently, for example with the Elon Musk tweeting the same week.
  1. Question: The situation with Robinhood - Changes in terms and conditions. Disclaimer, it is important to read through Robhinhoods entire terms and conditions to fully under what happened. The information below is just a summary and is not Robhinhoods terms and conditions but an explanation of what happened and why it happened
Answer: Robhinhood has received high profile backlash in the media recently for their involvement with GME/Wallstreetbets. A lot of the cryptocurrency and Dogecoin community were outraged when they found out that about one week ago Robhinhood stopped allowed instant transfers for their cryptocurrency. Unfortunately, while we may not agree with what happened there they do have a reason for this. Over the past week the sheer amount of people trying to buy cryptocurrency skyrocketed at one instant. When robinhood allowed for instant transfers what they were really doing is essentially “loaning” you money to make trades or purchase cryptocurrency before the funds actually hit Robhinhoods business account. This caused a huge liquidity issue and Robhinhood could not meet the demand. That is why you had to wait 5 business days for your funds to be approved. This is standard practice across multiple brokerage firms before Robhinhood pioneered the instant transfer option. Whether we like it or not, Robhinhood is a power house in their industry and not going away. Robhinhood is one of the most mainstream ways to purchase and sell cryptocurrency and if everyone pulled their money out of Robhinhood the entire cryptocurrency market would collapse which I believe we can all agree no one wants to happen.
  1. Question: if all of the above information is true why the cryptocurrency full of people who are trying to discredit Dogecoin as legitimate cryptocurrency.
Answer: The cryptocurrency is horribly misinformed. They may have a solid understand of the technology aspect of cryptocurrency but the reason why Dogecoin will be successful is based on economics, mathematics, social theory and statistics as WELL as the underlying technology. cryptocurrency is full of gatekeepers who horde their knowledge while the Dogecoin community is focused on explaining and educating new people. cryptocurrency is notorious for being extremely serious and feel threatened that something that started at as a joke/meme has the potential to be better at cryptocurrencies intended purpose - exchanging goods and services - than Bitcoin or any other popular cryptocurrency which is deflationary in nature.
Thank you for reading this post in its entirety. It took a large amount of collective effort of people in my discord. I appreciate them to no end. We have over 100 people in that discord and we are here to stay. We are interested in explaining Dogecoin, reducing the scare factor and backing up Dogecoin through economic, social, financial, mathematical theory, etc. Per Dogecoin rules I cannot give out this discord, but if you are interested message me. It goes into greater detail on every one of these topics, with resources, links, articles etc. thank you and above all else remember that at the end of the day this is a meme cryptocurrency from 2013. But the people have spoken, and this is now official the people’s currency as well. Dogecoin🚀🪐🚀
submitted by Adventurous_Piglet85 to dogecoin [link] [comments]

Pawns of Loki guide: the "Magnificent Seven" theory

Pawns of Loki guide: the
Hi all, the following guide is intended to be for players who are struggling to reach the last tiers of the recent Paws of Loki (PoL from now on) mode. It's an "intermediate" guide, which means I'm assuming that players are already familiar with the basic rules of PoL (and of Fire Emblem Heroes, of course). At the moment I'm writing, I can manage to stay in the last tier of PoL with minimal investment and being a f2p (with an average score of 14,5k). So, if you're already scoring 14k or more in PoL, you're not exactly the target of this guide, but if you still want to read it it's not impossible that you'll find some useful tips anyway. Keep in mind that this is just my personal approach to the mode, which I feel it is the best for my situation (a long time f2p player) but it is not necessary the best one for everybody.
Keep in mind that 14k is calculated on 12 turns (only t9 and t10 I think): in lesser tiers you play less turns, so you will score less.
I divided the guide in six big sections: intro, building the brigade, building the units, strategical play, tactical play, pro tips.
If I can think of something more, I will update it. If you want to share any tips or criticism, feel free to do it (please, let's stay civil).

1 - INTRO

The key feature of PoL is that you'll be able to use your friends' main units. In order to exploit this aspect to the best, it's recommended that you keep among your friends active players who can share something interesting and/or unique and it's even better if you can manage to actually talk to some of them like in Reddit or in a discord group to have them provide some kind of units that you lack. Still, it's entirely possible to make it without this, so don't be discouraged if you can't and try to follow this guide.
In this guide, we will focus on playing at intermediate level with a melee/dragon team. There are other valid combo, but in terms of availability this is definitely the best option. You can use something different of course, since most of my tips can be extended to other compositions. So, let's start.

2- BUILDING THE BRIGADE

This is the most important aspect of PoL, and this is also the one for which I'll try to change your approach the most. Lots of people will just fill the brigade with either strong units or bulky ones in term of HPs, since your scores will be mostly dependent by the difference between your HPs and enemies HPs (assuming some enemies survived). This is not incorrect, but here I'll give you a different approach.
Go to an empty Brigade, filter only Melee/Dragons, then click on Update Friends and go to "Your Allies". Here, sort them by HP. Write down the highest 10 melee and 10 dragons units. In my case they are:
Arden, Effie, Haar, Astram, Marisa, Ross, Charlotte, B!Hector, V!Ike, Ike.
Duma, L!Corrin, Fae, Nowi, F!Tiki, Ena, H!Myrrh, Sothis, Myrrh, L!Tiki.
This is where things get tricky. Some people will be tempted to just randomly add those units, but let's proceed differently. Let's ask ourselves this question: what's the best 26 combo team that I can do using them? You'll need a team made of the "Magnificent Seven" units: 1 dragon of each color, a sword, a lance and axe. Among them, you need to have 2 infantry, 2 armored, 2 flyers, 1 cavalry (most likely cavalry will end up being the single one, since there are no cavalry dragons). In my example the answer is:
Arden, Haar, ///
Duma, Nowi, Ena, Myrrh.
As you can see, this combo is the best one for covering 1 dragon of each color, 2 infantry, 2 armored, 2 flyers. What it's lacking to be complete is a cavalry lance, but that was expected because they have few HPs. So, now I go back to my units and add my highest cavalry lance at disposal, Clive. You do something similar, depending what you ended up with.
Arden, Haar, Clive
Duma, Nowi, Ena, Myrrh.
Now, ask yourselves if there is any way to improve this team composition. Do you have any better version of those units in your barracks? Keep in mind that, contrary to your friends units, you can build yours (see next section). In my case, I've a +10 Nowi and a +10A!Tiki, so I'm replacing Nowi and Ena with my units. Second step is to consider this: is there any inversion you can do with any of your units? If you've a superstacked cavalry axe, you can consider use that unit instead of Clive, but you will have to bring on the table a flyer lance to maintain the combo to replace Haar. Are you gaining HPs by doing this exchange or losing them? If the answer is the first option, then do proceed. If the answer is the second option, let's keep everything as it is. If they pretty much stay the same, use the pair you consider is best. In my case:
Arden, Haar, Clive
Duma, Nowi, A!Tiki, Myrrh.
Once you decided your "Magnificent Seven", complete your brigade with filler units, keeping in mind that the best possible replacements are units with the same colotype/movement. If you see that you don't have units of that sort (for example, Myrrh is hardly replaceable in my team), considering adding stacked melee flyers for the 8th position (let's call it bonus slot) in case you miss Myrrh and you've to use another movement type, like Fae. It seems complicated at the beginning, but don't forget that you can always go back and fix the brigade if you spot something unbalanced during your plays.
With a bit of experience and practice you'll be able to create your ideal brigade (in my case):
Pro tip: notice how NY!Laegjarn will perfectly replace Clive if he's never draft. If Myrrh is never draft, I'll play Fae and use either Cormag or F!Grima. F!Corrin is a valid alternative to Duma, which will likely require running another armor as 8th bonus unit (this is what happened in some of section 4 and 5 explanations).

3- BUILDING THE UNITS

This section is more straightforward: you've gotten some good units and you want to build them for PoL. How do you proceed? Well, there are two key factors to consider, that I like to call "power vs mind".
Power is how much the unit can improve your score (basically his HP) and how important is to have the unit deployed on your field as soon as possible. Mind is how much the unit is effective in complex plays and how much she can contribute to overturn an unlucky end game. A typical power build is:

A friend's Duma who is stacking HPs as much as possible: he has a very strong PP and he will be extremely powerful in the early/middle part of the game.
Units like this Duma, however, can suffer in the endgame when you're facing better enemy units: he has no regenerative special (Sol would be better) and his C skill is contributing to nothing, he's weak against armor and dragon effective weapon. Still, his role as scorebot shouldn't be dismissed. Power builds mostly rely on a double HP+5 as A slot and seal, so you can't go wrong with those.
An example of a strong mind build is instead:
High stats, regenerative special, effective vs dragons and strong in both phases. An overall solid Fallen Tiki.
Notice how this F!Tiki is scoring less than Duma, but can pull you out of many difficult situations: her weapon can one shot many dragons and her C skill will chip surrounding enemy units. Ideal front liner.
There are also units who are better with a compromise of power and mind builds, here are my Ross (more power oriented) and Clive (more mind oriented):
I built him to stack HPs as much as possible. Even at low levels he will still be able to panic most enemies with Sudden Panic from the rear. While at high levels, he'll be able to contribute to a solid offensive as well with Savage Blow and Sol.
A semi-low investment Clive: his weapon is effective against Armors, so at high levels he'll be able to oneshot problematic units like Idunn and chip the surroundings. At low levels, he's best paired against Sword units thanks to SB3 and Noontime.
Do not forget, if you can, to feed at least a dragonflower to your units: since they'll gain an extra HP.
Summoner Support works as well in PoL, so if you want you can consider it as well.
Once you're ready with the preparative, let's start with the actual play.

4- STRATEGICAL PLAY

The overall strategy we have to apply for PoL is quite straightforward, but there are still a couple of concepts I feel it's better to make explicit.
  • If in your first turn you can't play on the board two of your "Magnificent Seven", quit and restart.
  • Filling the board with a combo the most closer to 26 is your priority: don't be tempted by early merges because deploying the correct unit will pay more in the long run.
The option of merging Arden or Clive can tempt a beginner in misplaying here. The optimal choice is deploying A!Tiki, then F!Corrin (or Clive), then mulligan.
Not merging did pay: we reached 24 combo in previous turn and now we've an obvious merge (F!Corrin) and a less obvious one (Arden), because that would mean to lose the double armor +2 combo. I decided to merge both anyway, then pick Myrrh and A!Tiki, then mulligan. The new draft had an Arden among them, so I swapped the A!Tiki out for 4 gems and took that Arden, to maintain the 24 combo. I had a solid and lucky turn, but the foundation for it was the good play in the previous one.
  • Prioritize your "Magnificent Seven" in the early game, even if it seems it can cost some points! You will be rewarded later!
After the mulligan, I've no merges to play. But I can play Myrrh who is part of my ideal line up so that when I'll be able to merge Haar I won't lose the 2 points combo from not having two flyers. This seems counterintuitive, but it will pay in the long run.
The payoff finally arrives three turns later: notice how I can make a double merge in this turn: Arden and Haar. Merging Haar now will let me keep the 26 points combo. If we didn't pick Myrrh at that time we would have to choose either to lose 2 points of combo or giving up a merge.
  • Spend gems to refresh the draft the less possible: when you're low on gems, you want to gamble that you will get the correct unit only if your game is suffering and you're on the verge of giving up. If it fails, give up. If your game looks solid so far, there is no reason to waste gems.
  • You can discharge one unit for total refund for turn: so make use of that as much as you can, if the situation is asking for it. Here are three interesting examples:
1) Here I can bet on L!Tiki, so I'll take her, then refresh the draft hoping I can get another copy for the merge.
The bet didn't pay, but... there are two Ardens! I can exchange my L!Tiki for a full refund of 5 gems, and with 10 gems I'll be able to get both Arden and merge him (note that Haar is worth only 2 gems, so don't refund him instead of L!Tiki).
2) A similar situation on the following turn: I'll take Arden and Duma, leaving myself with 8 gems. If both show up again, I can exchange Haar for 2 gems and pick them both since they cost 6 and 4.
Again, an interesting outcome: only Duma appeared but there are two NY!Laegjarn. Duma will cost 4 gems, so I'm down to 4, but Arden's refund will give me 6 more, for a total 10. I can play both NY!Laegjarn as well. This outcome is clearly lucky, but some players could have chosen to just take Arden and refresh a couple of times hoping to get him or Haar, which isn't the most economical solution. We maximized our gems stack and still got two merges here.
3) A difficult end game situation: I can't make other merges, but considering the board I can exchange L!Tiki for another Arden. He will score more and will provide a tactical advantage on column two, where they can obliterate the biggest enemy units.
Overall, the idea paid off quite well. Notice also how my board is reflecting the \"Magnificent Seven\" theory: I'm running Arden, Haar, Clive, Nowi, A!Tiki, Myrrh, F!Corrin, with another Arden as 8th slot. The only difference from the original plan is F!Corrin for Duma, but a minor deviation from the plan is always to be expected.
  • Last turn forced gamble: you can be forced to gamble in the last turn, do it wisely.
Myrrh is worth 8 gems, while Duma 6. At this point my only option is to exchange Myrrh, spending 2 gems to refresh and hoping to get Duma. If the two units you had the same gems value, then my tip is to give up the one with the highest HPs, since it's more likely to cap at 99 HPs after the combo.
I've been lucky, but even if I wouldn't have been, there were no other valid options so it was a forced gamble that we had to take. Just be sure to exchange the correct units! If we would have exchanged Duma we wouldn't have had enough gems for Myrrh even if she showed up. Always think before gambling!
  • Don't be afraid to quit: giving up is never nice, but it can save you lots of time. If you see you're struggling or lagging behind, just restart.

5 - TACTICAL PLAY

In Ancient Greece, the term taktikḗ indicated the art of deploying your troops on the battlefield. So how we should we proceed with our units in PoL? Here are my tips:
  • Remember the attack order: front row units will attack first, in order of level. Once all front row units have attacked, back row units will attack, in order of level. In case of a tie in level, the unit with the highest speed will attack first. Units always attack the closest one to them. Keep this in mind when planning the combat match ups.
  • Type weapon effectiveness and triangle wheel are always your friends. In general you want your units to face off somebody who they have a weapon effectiveness and/or a triangle advantage against.
  • Do basic math: there is no need to do any complex counting, but if you're attacking with weapon effectiveness you will deal 1.5x damage. Check if that's enough to OHKO, especially if you can't double. Remember that the combo stats buffs will be applied later, so you will do more than your calculations but don't count SO much on it (if you have 50 atk, weapon effectiveness and no triangle advantage, you'll do 75. Don't expect to OHKO an unit with 50 def...)
  • Galeforcers are a blessing and a curse. They can be extremely powerful in certain team compositions for their ability to clean up enemy survivors, but in the end game they can risk to mess up the attack order, causing wrong match ups. High benefit, high risk.
  • Some specific units will require specific play.
1) Kempf's Venin Edge (plus Savage Blow) is super annoying. The biggest mistake you can do here it to pair Kempf with Clive, despite him having SB3. You don't want to tank him, you want to be sure to OHKO. L!Tiki could have a shot at it, but let's go with the safer route and use Arden's brave weapon to kill him off without leaving him any chance to retaliate. The other pair ups are pretty obvious, but notice the L!Tiki vs Aversa one: you don't want Aversa to attack Arden so you need an higher level unit, and among them L!Tiki is the only one who can surely double and kill that bulky flyer.
The tactic did pay off!
2) Kempf is back for a vengeance, but we already know how to deal with him: let's use again Reinhardt, I mean, Arden. Notice how I merged him up in the last turn: it's true that I lose 2 combo, but at this point of the game many units will reach 99 HPs anyway with the combo buffs and having a super strong Arden to dispatch him to avoid disasters seemed more important than a couple of extra points.

6 - PRO TIPS

  • Once you reach the last tiers, a game will last 12 turns. An ideal ladder to reach 14k is the following one:
Turn 2 - 650
Turn 3 - 1400
Turn 4 - 2300
Turn 5 - 3400
Turn 6 - 4600
Turn 7 - 5800
Turn 8 - 7100
Turn 9 - 8400
Turn 10 - 9800
Turn 11 - 11200
Turn 12 - 12600
Final score - 14000
Keep these intervals in mind while playing: if your objective is 14k and you're at turn 8 with a score around 6500 the game is already compromised. The ideal thing would be to make a ladder for yourself: write down your intervals while playing, so that you will know the intervals to aim if you want to improve your high score. If you see you're behind by too much, the game is doomed. Quit and restart.
  • Once you're familiar with the gameplay, don't be afraid to make adjustments: if you keep losing units in the end game, bring better "mind units" in your brigade. If you score too less, add "power units" as scorebots. If your dragons suck, use something else.

Thanks for having read until this point. If you have questions or suggestions, feel free to ask or post. See you on the board!
submitted by reid4891 to FireEmblemHeroes [link] [comments]

Millions of new members and in the crosshairs of the entire world. A pause to think about the path forward and consider the obstacles as we as a sub move forward

Reposting this just because I tried to get this idea out on a crazy titled post that was removed... but feel it should be thrown up for debate. Or crucifixion more likely. But fuck it.
Here's my sentiment on the current situation of all of us, this situation with GME and whatever.... I feel this merits serious thought so... if anyone agrees lets discuss. Like the intelligent bad mother fuckers we are.
Remember, act like you've been there.
We all should know what we’ve done. Everyone here has now been there. I’m not trying to talk shit for real. I’m just saying that sometimes the real hype and power in your words comes from the cold, calculating and poise inherent to people that know they know what is up, what to do, and how to do it.
If we’re going to thrive as a real group we all need to set examples for the new people here as senior members who have been through it. Think about the long term. We keep our memes and our jokes and our style but it’s gotta be immune to trends and outside influence because we see ourselves as professionals... professional renegades. Autists. Whatever you wanna call it. We need to all reel in the 4 million wild eyed new members and show them the way of WSB. Not for the now but for the future of the sub and the very fabric of the culture we’ve forged in fire here. The GME great short squeeze will go down in history. And it should. But we can’t let our own success be our demise. We can’t give the media and naysayers any ammunition. In fact. When they come here and lurk I want them to report back something somber. That it appears to be the Wild West but once you’re in it for a while you see the beautiful and subtle unspoken rules, respect for innovative ideas, respect for knowledge and respect for those that see an improbable outcome and bet wildly on it and win. Because talent hits a target no one else can and genius hits one no one else can see.
No one saw GME like WSB did. And if they had no other group of people would throw billions at this collective wild ass idea to force into reality what was just a crazy idea like this.
I know this will get downvoted to hell. But the point is to throw your two cents into the machine and hope the butterfly effect is in your favor. Also in that vein I’d like everyone here to consider what effects their own agenda is behind a post and the effect it may have on the whole of the sub. And in turn the lives of those that live and breathe WSB, because for so long it’s not been a group of retards but rather one of the greatest collections of intellectual prowess on the internet. In realizing what we have here I am still amazed. I've been following this sub for about 3 years now and the crazy things I've seen here are nothing on the scale of GME but epic in their own right. The scale of a thing is not relative to the degree of badass it is. We do badass things here all the time if you just look at the DDs and dig into the sub. We all downplay ourselves because that’s the WSB way of being. We don't brag to the point of being insanely opposite most of the time. Hell my girlfriend was flat out appalled when I told her we affectionately call ourselves autists and it's a term of endearment... That's just who we are.
We do not brag. We do not seek to influence others. We all do what we do and at the end of the day love the others here. All jokes aside. Let’s not let GME and AMC take our sights off the long term. And the fact we have to incorporate 4-6? million new members and their ideas and agendas ect. *Now we are weak to outside influence more than ever before at a time when every cocksucker on Earth is setting their sights on us and gearing up the propaganda machines for some social financial engineering experiments that will be, no doubt, some heavy handed and long term projects that are seriously going to be difficult to survive as an 'independent' group of thinkers. For when we cross the murky line from ideas that naturally form here to ideas seeded and nurtured into our psyches and group think no one can see until it's in hindsight. The strongest way to defend against this is to encourage free thinking, intellectual and deep cultural norms that are inherently unwritten such that no imposter or seeded idea can survive the critical minds and crazy ass personalities here much less mimic being one of us... Just like you would know if one of your friends was an imposter because you just fucking know them down to the tiniest little thing, so too should we consciously forge and support this as a group. We should get it going and the new people can assimilate or move on. We should adapt to this new world that we've made, but do it with open eyes and a critical mind because there are serious dangers ahead my friends. *
Stop looking outside. The danger is now within. In our own success.
submitted by Account_Admin to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

free bet calculator rule 4 video

21. Warren Buffett Intrinsic Value Calculation - Rule 4 ... Faster than a calculator  Arthur Benjamin  TEDxOxford ... Water Cooling a TI-84 Graphing Calculator! - YouTube Free Dutching Calculator - Horse Racing - YouTube Gaussian Elimination With 4 Variables Using Elementary Row ... How to Set END Mode or BGN - TI BA II Plus Financial ... Calculation of the Length and the Bend Angle of a Pipe ... 3-4-5 Method - YouTube Betting Software - Free Staking Plan Calculator with Back ... The 4% Rule for Retirement (FIRE) - YouTube

Free Bet Calculator. You can use our main free bet calculator below to work out the winning of any bet: Fill in the ENTER BET DETAILS box. Firstly, select your BET TYPE and choose which type of bet you are wanting to calculate the winnings for. Select if the bet was win or each way. Choose the number of selections in your bet (if an accumulator). You will then repeat that process however many times is necessary – for example, if you have placed multiple bets – and then may also be able to add information related to Dead Heats or any situation when Rule 4 may have come into play. The latter offers compensation in the event that a horse withdraws from a race after a bet is placed. Rule 4 will be applied by both the bookmaker and the exchange, so if you have already backed and layed then you do not need to do anything.! Useful guide: Free Matched Betting Glossary One issue you may come across is if you're doing the popular Bet365 4/1 offer and you bet on a horse at 5.0 before a rule 4 occurs. The Free Bet Calculator is the most advanced online sports bet calculator, allowing you to calculate the stake and profit for an extensive range of bets. All of the most popular bet types are supported, including Lucky 15, Single, Double, Accumulator, Patent and Round Robin, along with more specialised bets such as Alphabet, Magnificent 7, Union Jack, and the infamous Bookies Nightmare! At the Free Bet Calculator we understand that not everybody has access to the ‘latest and greatest’ device with which to browse the Internet. So instead of simply discarding the old bet calculator every time there is a major new release, it will be added to the gallery of Old Bet Calculators, where it will remain until it is no longer used. This page contains the version of the Free Bet This above tool acts as an each-way bet calculator. Simply tick the relevant box. Rule 4 Rules. A Rule 4 deduction occurs when the winnings of your bet are reduced due to another horse being withdrawn from the race after your bet has been placed. For example, if a horse pulls out of the race at the last minute, and is declared a non-runner. O ur free bet calculator allows you to work out your returns from a variety of bet types including accumulators, Lucky 15s, You can also add a Rule 4 to any selections, which is when a A Free Bet Calculator function allows bettors to calculate the payout from a free bet or bonus. This can be very useful when deciding which bonus to activate at a sportsbook or to calculate the minimum and maximum which can be won using the free bet or bonus. The rule 4 calculator function allows bettors to account for rule 4 deductions in For example, if the bet is priced at 4-1, then it is calculated as 1 / (4+1) = 0.2 which means there is a 20% chance of the outcome happening. The bet return is calculated by multiplying the stake by the odds. A single bet can usually be worked out easily, but when working out a multiple it is advisable to use a bet calculator. Rule 4 – If another horse in the race withdraws, your odds and winnings will probably be adjusted Bet Odds # – This is an auto-populated field that refers to the number of the selection.

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21. Warren Buffett Intrinsic Value Calculation - Rule 4 ...

This precalculus video tutorial provides a basic introduction into the gaussian elimination with 4 variables using elementary row operations with 4x4 matrice... The user will learn in this tutorial how to find the length of a pipe and it bend angles. The usage of the calculator pipe trades pro augment the skills of t... Get Great Deals at Amazon Here: http://amzn.to/2FLu8NwTI BA II Plus Professional Calculator: https://amzn.to/2GOf9ibHow to Set END Mode or BGN - TI BA II Plu... Get 10% Off XSplit Vcam with offer code LINUSTECHTIPS at https://xspl.it/lttvcamIt is natural to fiddle with your calculator while bored in math class. Maybe... Learn more about Preston’s Intrinsic Value Course that teaches you step-by-step how to calculate the intrinsic value of a stock in 18 exclusive videos: https... If you have spent any time researching retirement planning online, you have heard of the 4% rule. If you haven’t heard of it, the 4% rule suggests that if yo... FREE Download. Visit: - http://horse-racing-systems.net/free-downloadsFree betting software - Staking plan calculator that will calculate a profitable staki... Never miss a talk! SUBSCRIBE to the TEDx channel: http://bit.ly/1FAg8hBBenjamin makes numbers dance. In his day job, he's a professor of mathematics at Harve... Dutching software is free software for Betdaq that allows you to place complex bets on their exchange. This video is a tutorial video showing how to do this ... Host, Casey Hentges, shows us some garden math to help with layout and design of your home gardens.

free bet calculator rule 4

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